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Here are some graphics that were
compiled by Dr. Michael Powalla, Zentrum für Sonnenenergie- und
Wasserstoff-Forschung (ZSW) Baden-Württemberg, Industriestrasse 6,
D-70565 Stuttgart; www.zsw-bw.de |
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First the world
production of solar cells / modules im Megawatts. Interestingly, Japan
surpassed Europe in 1997, and the US in 1999. The total
capacity produced in 2002 is about 500 MW, which nominally is
about half of a nuclear power plant. |
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In Germany, like in most other
industrialized countries, progress depends on subsidies as shown below. |
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With increasing volume of solar cells
produced (not just with increasing time fiddling around!), we learn how to
operate large scale production more efficiently and cheaply. |
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Costs come down on a learning curve,
following rather general economic "laws". |
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The next picture shows how much
per Watt you must pay not over "linear" time, but over
cumulated "experience" measured in total output in (peak)
megawatts. |
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The overwhelming parameter of any
solar cell is its conversion efficiency h.
Silicon is still dominating the market, but CuInSe2 (CIS) is now the major contender.
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The following pictures compares
efficiencies of CIS and amorphous Si (a-Si) , and demonstrates that CIS has a large
potential, indeed. |
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"Yield" in this picture is
the maximum efficiency for the technology listed achievable today. it is clear,
but unfortunate, that large-area technologies are always behind small area
Lab-scale cells. |
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An often controversial issue is the
"energy pay-back time" (EPBT), meaning the time you have to
run your solar cell just to generate the energy it took to make it. |
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Obviously, EPBTs in excess of the
expected life times of a solar cell or module (say 20 years) are idiotic
(an economist might oppose that statement, however). Equally obviously, the
EPBT of any energy generating devices are hard to assess, too: |
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How much energy does it take to
produce a oil / coal burning powerplant? Including the energy needed to dig the
coal, transport it etc.? The energy needed to dismantle the thing eventually?
The energy needed to repair the damage from the emissions? The energy neede to
keep, e.g. the city of Essen in Germany from being flooded for the next several
100 years or foreever, since all the coal dug out under it caused it to sink
below the ground water level? |
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Anyway, as far as it can be done, the
following graph shows the EPBT of solar cells. No matter how you look at it:
Harnessing solar energy with modern solar
cells does make sense! |
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© H. Föll